Deportivo Pereira vs Rionegro Águilas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:5
24/10/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.033.08
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
924
Shots on target
29
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
70% (179/256)85% (397/465)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.033.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.832.69
Total shots
924
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
710
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
417
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1238
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
95
Passes
70% (179/256)85% (397/465)
Long passes
35% (20/57)53% (16/30)
Passes in final third
53% (36/68)73% (104/143)
Crosses
0% (0/2)39% (13/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.222.55
Throw-ins
2429
Fouls
59
Tackles
60% (6/10)100% (8/8)
Duels won
2422
Clearances
2617
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.690.83
Goals prevented
-1.31-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Rivaldo J. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Mosquera R. (Pen),
  • 17', Rivaldo J. , Obregon J. ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Cadavi G. , Pineda J. (A),
  • 31', Oritz J. 🟥,
  • 43', Ruiz S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 46', Cadavi G. , Mena J. ,
  • 46', Alzate Uribe S. , Lopez M. ,
  • 50', Obregon J. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Obregon J. , Caballero J. (A),
  • 61', Ramirez M. 🟨,
  • 62', Montoya J. , Mosquera J. ,
  • 65', 1 - 3, Mosquera S. (Own goal),
  • 67', Ramirez M. , Charales F. ,
  • 69', 1 - 4, Charales F. , Caballero J. (A),
  • 74', Calderon A. , Garcia G. ,
  • 74', Pineda J. , Salazar T. ,
  • 75', Caballero J. , Palacio B. ,
  • 85', Mosquera R. , Lopez J. ,
  • 87', 1 - 5, Mena J. , Salazar T. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4c8fbwrm

Chances of winning


Deportivo Pereira
41.3%
Draw
28.4%
Rionegro Águilas
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 28.1% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 29.5% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pereira's form might have worsened.
  • Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rionegro Águilas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rionegro Águilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.8)
    3.35
    (3.29)
    3.37
    (4.47)
    4.1%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pereira: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rionegro Águilas will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 1.
    • Pereira is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rionegro Águilas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Pereira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Rionegro Águilas has had a series of home games.
    • Pereira will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira 3:3
    27.09.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira 1:1
    17.03.2024 Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas 2:1
    11.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas 0:0
    12.03.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira 2:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Pereira
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Bogotu00e1953114:12218
    2Dep. Pasto953112:10218
    3America De Cali851214:5916
    4Once Caldas944116:10616
    5Atl. Nacional750215:51015
    6Junior850314:10415
    7Deportes Tolima943211:7415
    8Bucaramanga835012:5714
    9Dep. Cali933311:8312
    10Aguilas83329:8112
    11Millonarios932413:11211
    12Fortaleza925210:13-311
    13Llaneros82429:8110
    14Santa Fe924310:12-210
    15Jaguares de Cordoba83148:15-710
    16Ind. Medellin914411:14-37
    17Cucuta913514:19-56
    18Pereira80448:16-84
    19Chico91177:16-94
    20Alianza80353:17-143

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