Result
1:0
11/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (245/324) | 76% (221/290) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (245/324) | 76% (221/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (29/54) | 39% (20/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (68/104) | 49% (34/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/21) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 100% (9/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Urena R. 🟨,
- 32', Alvarez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Alvarez A. ↓, Suarez Chalare F. A. ↑,
- 46', Quintero D. ↓, Falcao R. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 0, Falcao R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', Pineda J. 🟨,
- 62', Uruena B. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
- 65', Castro L. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
- 66', Lozano D. 🟨,
- 70', Contreras R. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 70', Llinas A. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
- 71', Rivaldo J. 🟨,
- 76', Sarabia C. ↓, Samuel M. ↑,
- 80', Pineda J. ↓, Roa J. ↑,
- 80', Obregon J. ↓, Londono C. ↑,
- 87', Valencia S. 🟨,
- 89', Falcao R. 🟨,
- 90', Banguero D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Angulo J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5rrc8vx6
Chances of winning
Millonarios
57.8% | Draw
25.4% | Rionegro Águilas
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)The ML Model estimate for Millonarios aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Millonarios - Rionegro Águilas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.5) |
3.69 ↑
(3.6) |
5.52 ↓
(6.5) |
7.2%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 2.
- Millonarios has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rionegro Águilas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Millonarios is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Rionegro Águilas?
Millonarios has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Millonarios?
Rionegro Águilas has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:
29.08.2025
Rionegro Águilas
-
Millonarios
1:2
25.08.2024
Rionegro Águilas
-
Millonarios
2:1
16.02.2024
Millonarios
-
Rionegro Águilas
0:1
03.09.2023
Rionegro Águilas
-
Millonarios
2:0
19.03.2023
Millonarios
-
Rionegro Águilas
2:2
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
