Result
0:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 27
- Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (476/550) | 59% (119/203) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (476/550) | 59% (119/203) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 29% (19/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (92/126) | 44% (22/50) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (4/33) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
- 29', Pearson B. 🟨,
- 37', Mubama D. 🟨,
- 45+4', Cisse L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Dunne J. 🟨,
- 56', Mubama D. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
- 71', Dembele K. ↓, Bennie D. ↑,
- 76', Lawal B. ↓, Bocat E. ↑,
- 78', Kone R. 🟨,
- 86', Smyth P. ↓, Esquerdinha ↑,
- 87', Kolli R. ↓, Adamson K. ↑,
- 87', Pearson B. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
- 90+10', Bennie D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stoke City
45.2% | Draw
28.6% | Queens Park Rangers
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.31) |
3.33 ↑
(3.31) |
3.61 ↑
(3.09) |
5.4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - QPR (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Stoke City will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 66.7%). QPR (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2.
- Stoke is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- QPR is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Stoke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Stoke: Baker L.
(Ankle Injury)
Bocat E.
(Inactive)
Bozenik R.
(Shoulder Injury)
Cresswell A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in QPR: Larkeche Z.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Tchamadeu J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in QPR: Burrell R.
(Injury)
Chair I.
(Muscle Injury)
Dembele K.
(Injury)
Mbengue A. S.
(Injury)
Saito K.
(Injury)
Varane J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Queens Park Rangers?
Stoke City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Stoke City?
Queens Park Rangers has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:
20.09.2025
Queens Park Rangers
-
Stoke City
1:0
29.03.2025
Stoke City
-
Queens Park Rangers
3:1
23.11.2024
Queens Park Rangers
-
Stoke City
1:1
14.02.2024
Stoke City
-
Queens Park Rangers
1:0
28.11.2023
Queens Park Rangers
-
Stoke City
4:2
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
