Hull City vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 25
  • Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.59
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
71% (274/384)72% (266/368)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.401.47
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
71% (274/384)72% (266/368)
Long passes
41% (35/86)35% (29/82)
Passes in final third
53% (54/102)46% (43/94)
Crosses
22% (4/18)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.54
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1313
Tackles
43% (10/23)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5956
Clearances
2344
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.470.40
Goals prevented
0.470.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Crooks M. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Bozenik R. ,
  • 45+1', Slater R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Joseph K. , Ndala J. ,
  • 54', Bozenik R. , Gallagher S. ,
  • 69', Bae J. 🟨,
  • 73', Famewo A. , Palmer K. ,
  • 73', Gyabi D. , Destan E. ,
  • 82', Ndala J. 🟨,
  • 89', Slater R. , Hadziahmetovic A. ,
  • 89', Millar L. , Akintola B. ,
  • 90+4', Talovierov M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Cisse L. , Manhoef M. ,
  • 90+6', Rigo T. , Seko T. ,
  • 90+13', Lawal B. , N'Zonzi S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hull City
42.2%
Draw
28.8%
Stoke City
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 28.1% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 28.1% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stoke City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stoke City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hull City - Stoke City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.51)
    3.31
    (3.37)
    3.26
    (2.76)
    5.3%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Hull City - Stoke City?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Hull (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Hull (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Hull City will win (37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.69%96.41%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Hull (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 3.
    • Hull has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Stoke is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Hull: Ajayi S. (International duty) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) Williams B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Stoke: Baker L. (Ankle Injury) Bocat E. (Inactive) Cresswell A. (Injury) Pearson B. (Red Card) Tchamadeu J. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Hull: Giles R. (Injury) Lundstram J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hull won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hull City - Stoke City were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Stoke City - Hull City 1:2
    01.02.2025 Hull City - Stoke City 1:2
    20.09.2024 Stoke City - Hull City 1:3
    29.03.2024 Hull City - Stoke City 0:2
    24.09.2023 Stoke City - Hull City 1:3
    Latest results of Hull City
    Latest results of Stoke City
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry ✔ 462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton ✔ 4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd ✔ 4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester ✔ 4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 462123229:89-600

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Coventry is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League
    Southampton is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Oxford Utd is Relegated to League One
    Leicester is Relegated to League One
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One