Result
0:2
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 19', 0 - 1, Sparacello C. ⚽,
- 23', 0 - 2, Sparacello C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Recanatese
28% | Draw
29% | L Aquila
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)L Aquila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and L Aquila might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that L Aquila could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Recanatese - L Aquila Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↓
(3.55) |
3.11 ↓
(3.5) |
2.1 ↑
(1.82) |
11%
(11.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
- Recanatese is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- L Aquila has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- L Aquila could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Recanatese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recanatese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Recanatese won against L Aquila?
Recanatese has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has L Aquila won against Recanatese?
L Aquila has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Recanatese - L Aquila were as follows:
24.09.2025
L Aquila
-
Recanatese
2:1
19.01.2025
Recanatese
-
L Aquila
0:2
Latest results of Recanatese
Latest results of L Aquila
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ostiamare | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 62:20 | 42 | 73 |
| 2 | Ancona | 31 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 71 |
| 3 | Teramo | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 59:25 | 34 | 69 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 53 |
| 5 | L Aquila | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 51:41 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Notaresco Calcio | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 31 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 35:29 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 45 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 24:30 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 36:37 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Maceratese | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 37 |
| 12 | Termoli | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Sora | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Calcio Chieti | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 26:53 | -27 | 26 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 33:55 | -22 | 25 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 29:57 | -28 | 25 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 28:64 | -36 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
