Result
0:3
05/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - League phase - Round 4
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5 |
 Azerbaijan | Ictimai TV |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | HBO Max |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | Canal+ Live 7 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport, Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257 |
 Japan | Wowow Cinema |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 2 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 6 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-africa | SuperSport Action |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 9 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii, TRT 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | On Golf, ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (416/469) | 89% (447/500) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 3.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (416/469) | 89% (447/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (17/38) | 60% (32/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (66/86) | 67% (66/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.87 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Mokio J. 🟨,
- 38', Gaaei A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Wijndal O. ↓, Alders G. ↑,
- 46', Gabriel Sara ↓, Yilmaz B. A. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 1, Osimhen V. ⚽, Sane L. (A),
- 61', Heitinga J. 🟨,
- 66', 0 - 2, Osimhen V. (Pen),
- 70', Regeer Y. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
- 70', Godts M. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
- 75', Klaassen D. 🟨,
- 78', 0 - 3, Osimhen V. (Pen),
- 79', Mokio J. ↓, McConnell J. ↑,
- 81', Osimhen V. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
- 85', McConnell J. 🟨,
- 86', Jakobs I. ↓, Elmali E. ↑,
- 86', Lemina M. ↓, Ayhan K. ↑,
- 89', Torreira L. ↓, Kutlu B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ajax
28.4% | Draw
25.1% | Galatasaray
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Ajax - Galatasaray Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(3.16) |
3.85 ↓
(4.01) |
2.07 ↑
(2.06) |
3.7%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Ajax - Galatasaray?
Users Predictions:
103 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 22 - 21.4%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 64 - 62.1%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 16.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 52.7% – 71.5%. The data is statistically significant.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 34 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 3 - 8.8%). Galatasaray (votes: 22 - 64.7%). Tie (votes: 9 - 26.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Galatasaray (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Galatasaray (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 36 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 3 - 8.3%). Galatasaray (votes: 24 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 9 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Ajax has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Galatasaray is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Galatasaray has had a series of home games.
- Galatasaray will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S.
(Groin Injury)
Dolberg K.
(Abdominal strain)
Taylor K.
(Red Card)
van den Boomen B.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Galatasaray: Akgun Y.
(Groin Injury)
Gundogan I.
(Calf Injury)
Gurpuz G.
(Inactive)
Karatas K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Ajax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Galatasaray?
Ajax has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Galatasaray won against Ajax?
Galatasaray has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Galatasaray were as follows:
30.01.2025
Ajax
-
Galatasaray
2:1
Latest results of Galatasaray
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
