Notaresco vs Civitanovese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Play Out - Final

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Vesprini N. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 69', 1 - 1, Sall I. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Ferri R. ,

Chances of winning


Notaresco
47%
Draw
28.1%
Civitanovese
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 29.3% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 28.4% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notaresco's performance.
  • Civitanovese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Civitanovese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notaresco that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Civitanovese than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Civitanovese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Notaresco - Civitanovese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.29)
    3.22
    (3.1)
    3.64
    (2.94)
    10.4%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Civitanovese has had a series of away games.
    • San Nicolò could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Nicolò won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, San Nicolò won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notaresco - Civitanovese were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Notaresco - Civitanovese 1:2
    Latest results of Notaresco
    04.05.2025 Notaresco - Chieti 2:1
    27.04.2025 Teramo - Notaresco 1:2
    13.04.2025 Ancona - Notaresco 3:1
    06.04.2025 Notaresco - Isernia 1:2
    Latest results of Civitanovese
    27.04.2025 Civitanovese - Recanatese 1:1
    17.04.2025 Fermana - Civitanovese 0:2
    13.04.2025 Sora - Civitanovese 3:1
    30.03.2025 Chieti - Civitanovese 1:0
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ancona26194349:163361
    2Ostiamare26186253:173660
    3Teramo26177251:222958
    4L Aquila26145748:331547
    5Atletico Ascoli26129547:272045
    6Vigor Senigallia261010628:25340
    7Giulianova26912533:27639
    8Notaresco Calcio26911629:24538
    9Fossombrone2689920:24-433
    10Unipomezia26881032:34-232
    11Maceratese26931435:38-330
    12Sora26791033:39-630
    13Termoli26512922:26-427
    14Recanatese26561528:48-2021
    15Calcio Chieti26491323:47-2421
    16San Marino Calcio26551622:47-2520
    17Sammaurese26461627:57-3018
    18Castelfidardo26431922:51-2915

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation