Ancona vs Notaresco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
03/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Kouko D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 87', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Ancona
52.8%
Draw
27.1%
Notaresco
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 27% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 25.8% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Ancona - Notaresco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.67)
    3.33
    (3.3)
    4.51
    (4.5)
    10.7%
    (12.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
    • Ancona is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs )
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Notaresco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ancona is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ancona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ancona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ancona - Notaresco were as follows:
    21.12.2025 Notaresco - Ancona 1:1
    13.04.2025 Ancona - Notaresco 3:1
    01.12.2024 Notaresco - Ancona 0:1
    Latest results of Ancona
    26.04.2026 L Aquila - Ancona 0:0
    19.04.2026 Ancona - Sammaurese 0:3
    02.04.2026 Ancona - Teramo 0:2
    29.03.2026 Vigor Senigallia - Ancona 0:1
    22.03.2026 Ancona - Sora 1:1
    Latest results of Notaresco
    12.04.2026 Notaresco - Ostia Mare 1:2
    02.04.2026 L Aquila - Notaresco 0:2
    29.03.2026 Teramo - Notaresco 1:0
    22.03.2026 Notaresco - Sammaurese 4:0
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare34247365:254079
    2Ancona34237459:223776
    3Teramo342111265:293674
    4Atletico Ascoli341413755:352055
    5Notaresco Calcio341312943:311251
    6L Aquila341491153:44951
    7Giulianova341116740:31949
    8Vigor Senigallia341213945:40549
    9Fossombrone3411111228:34-644
    10Unipomezia3410121243:42142
    11Termoli348151127:30-339
    12Maceratese341151843:49-638
    13Sora349111440:50-1038
    14Calcio Chieti348111531:55-2435
    15Recanatese34881839:57-1832
    16San Marino Calcio34871933:61-2831
    17Castelfidardo34652330:65-3523
    18Sammaurese34572230:69-3920

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation