Result
3:0
31/08/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (419/459) | 77% (200/261) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (419/459) | 77% (200/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (29/40) | 33% (13/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (88/109) | 48% (30/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 0% (0/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.64 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Monreal R. 🟥,
- 42', 1 - 0, Boya F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', De Buen D. ↓, Badaloni T. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Boya F. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
- 57', Cambindo D. 🟨,
- 58', Cambindo D. 🟨,
- 59', Arciga R. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
- 59', Badaloni T. 🟨,
- 66', Perez P. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 75', Blanco D. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 75', Castaneda K. ↓, Escamilla K. ↑,
- 75', Tona I. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
- 82', Boya F. 🟨,
- 84', Preciado A. 🟨,
- 84', 3 - 0, Preciado A. (Pen),
- 86', Mora G. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 89', Palavecino A. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
- 89', Rosero K. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
- 89', Rossano F. ↓, Jesus Alcantar ↑,
Chances of winning
Tijuana
41% | Draw
25.6% | Necaxa
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Tijuana - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.31) |
3.67 ↓
(3.98) |
2.79 ↑
(2.59) |
6.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tijuana - Necaxa?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 1.
- In recent matches, Tijuana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Necaxa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Necaxa: Calderon C.
(Injury)
Lara E.
(Elbow Injury)
- There are questionable in Tijuana: Bilbao U.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Necaxa?
Tijuana has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Tijuana?
Necaxa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Necaxa were as follows:
04.04.2025
Tijuana
-
Necaxa
1:2
18.10.2024
Necaxa
-
Tijuana
1:2
05.04.2024
Tijuana
-
Necaxa
2:3
07.07.2023
Necaxa
-
Tijuana
1:1
03.02.2023
Necaxa
-
Tijuana
1:1
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 32 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
