Result
3:0
20/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Claro Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (431/491) | 85% (344/407) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (431/491) | 85% (344/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (33/53) | 53% (35/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (101/138) | 61% (44/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Ruiz J. ⚽,
- 43', Castaneda K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', 2 - 0, Ruiz J. ⚽,
- 64', Castaneda K. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
- 64', Gomez A. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 73', Abreu D. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 0, Badaloni T. ⚽, Monreal R. (A),
- 78', Martinez R. ↓, Lara E. ↑,
- 78', Calderon C. ↓, Rossano F. ↑,
- 86', Ruiz J. ↓, Tello I. ↑,
- 86', Arciga R. 🟨,
- 89', Faravelli L. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Necaxa
44.2% | Draw
27.2% | Tijuana
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Necaxa - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.22) |
3.44 ↓
(3.57) |
3.25 ↑
(3.04) |
6.7%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Necaxa - Tijuana?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tijuana will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 2.
- Necaxa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tijuana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Necaxa might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Necaxa: Rosero K.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Necaxa: Pena A.
(Injury)
Rossano F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tijuana: Inzunza R.
(Injury)
Mora G.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Tijuana?
Necaxa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Necaxa?
Tijuana has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Tijuana were as follows:
31.08.2025
Tijuana
-
Necaxa
3:0
04.04.2025
Tijuana
-
Necaxa
1:2
18.10.2024
Necaxa
-
Tijuana
1:2
05.04.2024
Tijuana
-
Necaxa
2:3
07.07.2023
Necaxa
-
Tijuana
1:1
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
