Result
31/08/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Tijuana
39.3% | Draw
27.7% | Necaxa
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Tijuana - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.31) |
3.1 ↓
(3.98) |
2.98 ↑
(2.59) |
6.7%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 1.
- In recent matches, Tijuana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Necaxa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Necaxa?
Tijuana has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Tijuana?
Necaxa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Necaxa were as follows:
04.04.2025
Tijuana
-
Necaxa
1:2
18.10.2024
Necaxa
-
Tijuana
1:2
05.04.2024
Tijuana
-
Necaxa
2:3
07.07.2023
Necaxa
-
Tijuana
1:1
03.02.2023
Necaxa
-
Tijuana
1:1
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Toluca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
