São José-SP vs Ituano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Gabriel William ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Clessione ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Michael Paulista (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


São José-SP
34.3%
Draw
32.3%
Ituano
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 29.5% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 28.7% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São José-SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São José-SP than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • São José-SP - Ituano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.4)
    2.82
    (3.1)
    2.72
    (2.83)
    10%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for São José-SP - Ituano?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - São José-SP (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. São José-SP (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).
    • Ituano is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    • São José-SP is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ituano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Ituano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ituano has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, São José-SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São José-SP - Ituano were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Ituano - São José-SP 1:1
    Latest results of São José-SP
    Latest results of Ituano
    21.02.2026 Ituano - Sertãozinho 4:0
    18.02.2026 Ituano - Água Santa 0:1
    14.02.2026 Piracicaba - Ituano 0:1
    08.02.2026 Ituano - Santo André 1:0
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Agua Santa ✔ 1491422:13928
    2Ferroviaria ✔ 1483321:111027
    3Sao Jose EC ✔ 1483320:11927
    4Ituano ✔ 1483319:11827
    5Votuporanguense ✔ 1473415:12324
    6Osasco Sporting1457221:16522
    7Juventus-SP1455420:19120
    8Sertaozinho1354415:18-319
    9Piracicaba1454511:14-319
    10Inter de Limeira1444614:16-216
    11Taubate1437421:22-116
    12Santo Andre1443712:20-815
    13Linense1426611:17-612
    14Monte Azul1325614:17-311
    15Gremio Prudente1418511:15-411
    16Sao Bento ✔ 1412116:21-155

          Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Paulista A3

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Agua Santa is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ferroviaria is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Jose EC is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ituano is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Votuporanguense is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Bento is Relegated to Paulista A3