Result
1:2
28/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Paulista A2 - Second stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Leo Pereira ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, Lucas Stefanello ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Água Santa
35.7% | Draw
33% | Ituano
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Água Santa - Ituano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.36) |
2.77 ↓
(2.95) |
2.93 ↓
(3.03) |
9.5%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Água Santa won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Água Santa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Água Santa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Água Santa won against Ituano?
Água Santa has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Água Santa?
Ituano has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Água Santa - Ituano were as follows:
25.03.2026
Ituano
-
Água Santa
3:0
18.02.2026
Ituano
-
Água Santa
0:1
11.02.2024
Água Santa
-
Ituano
2:0
05.02.2023
Ituano
-
Água Santa
0:3
Latest results of Água Santa
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Table
Second stageGroup 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Votuporanguense ✔ | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Ituano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 3 | Piracicaba | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Agua Santa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Juventus-SP ✔ | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Ferroviaria | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Sao Jose EC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 4 | Sertaozinho | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Votuporanguense is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Juventus-SP is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
