Result
19/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Chances of winning
Tobol Kostanay
35.5% | Draw
26.3% | Astana
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Tobol Kostanay - Astana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(2.66) |
3.47 ↑
(3.21) |
2.4 ↓
(2.66) |
9.5%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 3.
- Tobol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Astana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tobol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 0.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Astana?
Tobol Kostanay has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Tobol Kostanay?
Astana has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tobol Kostanay - Astana were as follows:
10.05.2025
Astana
-
Tobol Kostanay
1:3
03.11.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Astana
1:0
08.05.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Astana
1:0
21.04.2024
Astana
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:2
16.09.2023
Astana
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:1
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 43:17 | 26 | 49 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 55:23 | 32 | 47 |
| 3 | Tobol | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 37:19 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 32:20 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 36:25 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | Okzhetpes | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 32 |
| 7 | Zhenis | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 31 |
| 8 | Ordabasy | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 10 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 17:34 | -17 | 20 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 20:37 | -17 | 19 |
| 12 | Ulytau | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 14:32 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | Turan | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 16:42 | -26 | 16 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 14:40 | -26 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
