Result
2:0
20/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 3
- Referee: Nozhenko S. (Kaz)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Kazakhstan | Qazsport, Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Basic I. ⚽, Basmanov S. (A),
- 31', Karaman D. 🟨,
- 37', Basic I. 🟨,
- 43', Kasym A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 44', Cisse A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', Karaman D. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Kasym A. ⚽,
- 71', Guerra L. ↓, Marat D. ↑,
- 72', Zuev A. ↓, Zhagorov N. ↑,
- 81', Islamkhan B. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
- 81', Asrankulov R. ↓, Hebaj R. ↑,
- 85', Abrayev M. ↓, Shomko D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Astana 51.7% | Draw 25.3% | Tobol Kostanay 23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Astana - Tobol Kostanay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↓ (1.79) |
3.59 ↑ (3.02) |
3.94 ↓ (5.05) |
10.2% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Astana - Tobol Kostanay?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Astana will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astana won 1.
- In this match, Astana is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Astana won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Astana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Tobol Kostanay?
Astana has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Astana?
Tobol Kostanay has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Astana - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
19.09.2025
Tobol Kostanay
-
Astana
2:3
10.05.2025
Astana
-
Tobol Kostanay
1:3
03.11.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Astana
1:0
08.05.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Astana
1:0
21.04.2024
Astana
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:2
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Astana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Kairat Almaty | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Kyzylzhar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Ulytau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Ertis Pavlodar | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Atyrau | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Aktobe | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Altai | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Zhenis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | Kaspij Aktau | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Tobol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League