Result
2:1
19/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 6
- Referee: Chekhovsky G. (Kaz)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Milovanovic U. ⚽, Vukcevic M. (A),
- 15', Martin D. 🟨,
- 30', Milovanovic U. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Martin D. ⚽, Smith A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Marochkin A. 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 1, Smith A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', Zhumashev Z. ↓, Hebaj R. ↑,
- 58', Asrankulov R. ↓, Zuev A. ↑,
- 58', Myakish M. ↓, Cisse A. ↑,
- 61', Martin D. 🟥,
- 68', Kishi K. ↓, Chalkin M. ↑,
- 76', Guerra L. 🟨,
- 78', Guerra L. ↓, Zhumat D. ↑,
- 78', Smith A. ↓, Abylaykhan R. ↑,
- 78', Taubay A. ↓, Nursultanov K. ↑,
- 88', Ndiaye P. ↓, Zhagorov N. ↑,
- 90+3', Harada H. ↓, Serikkul R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ulytau
32.7% | Draw
26.8% | Tobol Kostanay
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulytau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Ulytau - Tobol Kostanay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↓
(3.32) |
3.45 ↑
(3.32) |
2.29 ↑
(2.06) |
8.2%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ulytau - Tobol Kostanay?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Tobol will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).
- Ulytau has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tobol is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ulytau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Tobol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ulytau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Ulytau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulytau won against Tobol Kostanay?
Ulytau has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Ulytau?
Tobol Kostanay has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulytau - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
26.10.2025
Ulytau
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:2
01.03.2025
Tobol Kostanay
-
Ulytau
2:0
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Yelimay Semey | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Kyzylzhar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Aktobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Atyrau | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Zhenis | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Ertis Pavlodar | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Tobol | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Altai | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Kaspij Aktau | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3:11 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
