Żurrieq vs Mġarr United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
18/04/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
98
Corner kicks
15
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
32
Corner kicks
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Cristhyan Noto ,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Aquilina G. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 52', 2 - 1, Aquilina G. ,
  • 59', 3 - 1, Grech S. ,
  • 68', 3 - 2, Cristhyan Noto ,
  • 74', 4 - 2, Grech S. ,

Chances of winning


Żurrieq
37.4%
Draw
26.7%
Mġarr United
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 27% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 27.6% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Żurrieq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Mġarr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Żurrieq - Mġarr United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.42)
    3.36
    (3.32)
    2.5
    (2.5)
    11.5%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Żurrieq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Żurrieq won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Żurrieq won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Żurrieq - Mġarr United were as follows:
    01.02.2026 Żurrieq - Mġarr United 1:1
    05.04.2025 Mġarr United - Żurrieq 0:2
    09.02.2025 Żurrieq - Mġarr United 1:1
    Latest results of Żurrieq
    12.04.2026 Santa Lucia - Żurrieq 3:0
    01.04.2026 Żurrieq - Marsa 2:1
    07.03.2026 Mtarfa - Żurrieq 0:2
    04.03.2026 Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions 1:2
    Latest results of Mġarr United
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SwieqiBirzebbuga1 : 2