Cambridge United vs Birmingham City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League One Cambridge United - Birmingham City
Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 46
  • Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
Cambridge United - Birmingham City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.99
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
63% (157/250)84% (489/584)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.910.76
Total shots
911
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
63% (157/250)84% (489/584)
Long passes
28% (19/68)48% (39/82)
Passes in final third
56% (35/63)74% (150/204)
Crosses
25% (2/8)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.471.46
Throw-ins
1025
Fouls
1514
Tackles
57% (8/14)73% (8/11)
Duels won
4439
Clearances
2317
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.761.91
Goals prevented
-0.240.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Klarer C. , Laird E. (A),
  • 34', Kachunga E. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Lavery S. , Bennett L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Lavery S. , Ballard D. ,
  • 46', Willumsson W. T. , Dowell K. ,
  • 46', Paik Seung-Ho , Iwata T. ,
  • 59', Laird E. , Anderson K. ,
  • 64', Hanley G. , Bielik K. ,
  • 68', Kachunga E. 🟨,
  • 72', Harris L. , Jutkiewicz L. ,
  • 75', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
  • 77', Watts K. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Watts K. (Own goal),
  • 88', Bennett L. , Loft R. ,
  • 88', Kaikai S. , Stokes J. ,
  • 88', Stokes J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cambridge United
15.3%
Draw
21.1%
Birmingham City
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.8% 23.1% 58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18% 22.1% 60.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Cambridge United - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.19
    (5)
    4.48
    (4.07)
    1.48
    (1.61)
    6.1%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Birmingham will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • Cambridge is Relegated to League Two
    • Birmingham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    • Cambridge has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Birmingham is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Birmingham is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Cambridge: Gardner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jobe M. (Knee Injury) Loft R. (Red Card) Malone S. (Inactive) Marosi M. (Hamstring Injury) Smith K. (Inactive) Thomas G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Dykes L. (Calf Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cambridge: Ibsen Rossi Z. (Inactive) N'Lundulu D. (Inactive) Stevens J. (Injury) Stokes J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Bielik K. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Birmingham City were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Birmingham City - Cambridge United 4:0
    Latest results of Cambridge United
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stockport County00000:000
    2Bolton00000:000
    3Reading00000:000
    4Wigan00000:000
    5Barnsley00000:000
    6Blackpool00000:000
    7Cardiff00000:000
    8Plymouth00000:000
    9Doncaster00000:000
    10Huddersfield00000:000
    11Leyton Orient00000:000
    12Luton00000:000
    13Northampton00000:000
    14Port Vale00000:000
    15Wycombe00000:000
    16Bradford City00000:000
    17Lincoln00000:000
    18Mansfield00000:000
    19Peterborough00000:000
    20Rotherham00000:000
    21Burton00000:000
    22Exeter00000:000
    23Stevenage00000:000
    24AFC Wimbledon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cambridge United - Birmingham City?
    It is being streamed on channel
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
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