Birmingham City vs Southampton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
1:1
29/12/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 24
  • Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
irelandIrelandNOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 3
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.10
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
81% (281/346)87% (496/568)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.40
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
159
Passes
81% (281/346)87% (496/568)
Long passes
30% (16/54)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
61% (62/102)77% (117/152)
Crosses
42% (5/12)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.910.74
Throw-ins
1423
Fouls
915
Tackles
92% (12/13)91% (10/11)
Duels won
4631
Clearances
1214
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.400.84
Goals prevented
0.40-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Wood N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', Jander C. 🟨,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Neumann P. ⚽, Robinson J. (A),
  • 58', Robinson J. ↓, Scienza L. ↑,
  • 58', Fellows T. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,
  • 68', Jander C. ↓, Bragg C. ↑,
  • 68', Armstrong A. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
  • 68', Stansfield J. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
  • 69', Furuhashi K. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Archer C. ⚽, Jelert E. (A),
  • 73', Neumann P. 🟨,
  • 76', Davies C. 🟨,
  • 77', Davies C. 🟨,
  • 82', Roberts P. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
  • 83', Azaz F. ↓, Matsuki K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
41.4%		Draw
26.4%		Southampton
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 27.8% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 27.8% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
    •

    Birmingham City - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.29 ↑
    (2.22)    		 3.58 ↑
    (3.38)    		 2.92 ↓
    (3.13)    		 5.9%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 7 - 35%). S`hampton will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 28.1% – 71.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 16.7%). S`hampton (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - S`hampton (2.12) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - S`hampton (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 11.1%). S`hampton (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 12).
    • Birmingham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • S`hampton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Klarer C. (Red Card) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Osayi-Samuel B. (International duty) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S. (Hamstring Injury) Downs D. (Knock) Edozie S. (Hamstring Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Gray D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Jelert E. (Hip Injury) Stewart R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Southampton were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Southampton - Birmingham City 3:1
    02.03.2024 Birmingham City - Southampton 3:4
    28.10.2023 Southampton - Birmingham City 3:1
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    26.12.2025 Birmingham City - Derby County 1:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Sheffield United - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺
    13.12.2025 Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic 1:1 ✺
    09.12.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City 2:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Southampton - Birmingham City 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Southampton
    26.12.2025 Oxford United - Southampton 2:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Southampton - Coventry City 1:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Norwich City - Southampton 2:1 ✺
    09.12.2025 Southampton - West Bromwich Albion 3:2 ✺
    06.12.2025 Southampton - Birmingham City 3:1 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

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