Result
3:3
15/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (406/460) | 80% (252/315) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (406/460) | 80% (252/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (16/33) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (144/168) | 67% (70/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 33% (2/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.45 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Christian ⚽, Kaiki (A),
- 45+4', Andres Gomez 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 52', 1 - 1, Cauan Barros ⚽, Cuiabano (A),
- 54', 1 - 2, Cauan Barros ⚽,
- 54', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 59', Cauan Barros 🟥,
- 60', Christian ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
- 61', Lucas Silva ↓, Villarreal N. ↑,
- 61', David ↓, Lucas Piton ↑,
- 62', Moreira N. ↓, Brenner ↑,
- 62', Andres Gomez ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 2, Villarreal N. ⚽, Chico (A),
- 83', Hugo Moura ↓, JP ↑,
- 86', 2 - 3, Brenner ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
- 88', Tche Tche ↓, Lucas Freitas ↑,
- 88', Villalba L. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 90', Brenner 🟨,
- 90+1', William Furtado ↓, Kaua Moraes ↑,
- 90+1', Matheus Henrique ↓, Japa ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 3, Japa ⚽, Kaua Moraes (A),
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
55.3% | Draw
27.4% | Vasco da Gama
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.63) |
3.71 ↑
(3.6) |
6.13 ↑
(5.15) |
-1.3%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cruzeiro will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 1.
- Cruzeiro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vasco has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Bruno Rodrigues
(Inactive)
Kaio Jorge
(Inactive)
Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Romero L.
(Inactive)
Sinisterra L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vasco: Jair
(Knee Injury)
Mateus Carvalho
(Knee Injury)
Thiago Mendes
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Cassio
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Vasco da Gama?
Cruzeiro has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Cruzeiro?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
27.09.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Cruzeiro
2:0
27.04.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Vasco da Gama
1:0
29.09.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
16.06.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Cruzeiro
0:0
22.11.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Vasco da Gama
2:2
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Bahia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Gremio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Vasco | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Internacional | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Bragantino | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Chapecoense-SC | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Santos | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Remo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
