Result
2:0
11/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globo Esporte, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (338/392) | 87% (429/491) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (338/392) | 87% (429/491) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (21/37) | 54% (22/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (65/88) | 77% (98/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Pedro ⚽,
- 45+3', Leo Pereira 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Fagner 🟨,
- 60', Villarreal N. ↓, Chico ↑,
- 62', Cassio ↓, Matheus Cunha ↑,
- 65', Everton ↓, Samuel Lino ↑,
- 74', Emerson Royal ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 74', Lucas Paqueta ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
- 76', Gerson ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 86', Fagner ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
- 86', Lucas Silva ↓, Japa ↑,
- 88', Pulgar E. 🟨,
- 89', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 89', Pedro ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
- 90+6', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 0, Carrascal J. ⚽, Samuel Lino (A),
Chances of winning
Flamengo
63% | Draw
22.8% | Cruzeiro
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Flamengo - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.49) |
4.15 ↑
(4) |
6.7 ↑
(6.44) |
5.2%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 47.7% – 95.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
- Flamengo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cruzeiro is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Flamengo is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Niguez S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Kaua Moraes
(Inactive)
Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Sinisterra L.
(Inactive)
William Furtado
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Cruzeiro?
Flamengo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Flamengo?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Cruzeiro were as follows:
02.10.2025
Flamengo
-
Cruzeiro
0:0
04.05.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Flamengo
2:1
06.11.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Flamengo
0:1
30.06.2024
Flamengo
-
Cruzeiro
2:1
19.10.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Flamengo
0:2
Latest results of Flamengo
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 19 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:26 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
