Araçatuba vs São Caetano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
28/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 2, ,
  • 85', 1 - 3, ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Araçatuba
30.4%
Draw
33.7%
São Caetano
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 30% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6% 29.2% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Araçatuba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Caetano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araçatuba than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Caetano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Araçatuba - São Caetano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (3.35)
    2.67
    (3.05)
    2.5
    (2.15)
    11.2%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Araçatuba is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, São Caetano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, São Caetano has had a series of home games.
    • São Caetano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Araçatuba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Araçatuba - São Caetano were as follows:
    12.02.2025 São Caetano - Araçatuba 3:0
    Latest results of Araçatuba
    Latest results of São Caetano
    25.02.2026 São Caetano - ECUS 0:0
    21.02.2026 São Caetano - Penapolense 0:2
    14.02.2026 Jacareí - São Caetano 0:0
    11.02.2026 São Caetano - Nacional SP 3:0
    07.02.2026 São Caetano - Jabaquara 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Inter de Bebedouro (1)Lemense (8)2 : 0
    2Sao-Carlense (4)Barretos EC (5)1 : 1
    3Sao Caetano (2)Jacarei FC (7)0 : 0
    4Penapolense (3)Taquaritinga (6)1 : 1