Result
2:2
02/05/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Paulista A4 - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
São Caetano
41.1% | Draw
31.8% | Penapolense
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Caetano's performance.Penapolense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penapolense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
São Caetano - Penapolense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.55) |
2.84 ↓
(2.85) |
3.33 ↑
(2.7) |
10.9%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-2. Second leg.
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- São Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Penapolense is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- São Caetano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Penapolense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, São Caetano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, São Caetano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has São Caetano won against Penapolense?
São Caetano has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penapolense won against São Caetano?
Penapolense has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Caetano - Penapolense were as follows:
25.04.2026
Penapolense
-
São Caetano
2:1
21.02.2026
São Caetano
-
Penapolense
0:2
16.03.2025
Penapolense
-
São Caetano
1:0
Latest results of São Caetano
Latest results of Penapolense
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro (1) | Lemense (8) | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Sao-Carlense (4) | Barretos EC (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Sao Caetano (2) | Jacarei FC (7) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Penapolense (3) | Taquaritinga (6) | 2 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro | Sao-Carlense | 1 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Sao Caetano | Penapolense | 2 : 2, 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro | Penapolense | |
