Result
3:2
22/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (430/497) | 80% (275/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (430/497) | 80% (275/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (45/77) | 50% (28/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (104/146) | 66% (78/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Monteiro E. (Pen),
- 27', 1 - 1, Sitjakovs R. ⚽, Glaudans A. (A),
- 29', 2 - 1, Jackson Kenio ⚽, Kone K. (A),
- 34', Melniks D. 🟨,
- 37', Nakamura R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kone I. ↓, Kragliks R. ↑,
- 61', Kone K. ↓, Jeudi S. ↑,
- 61', Klavins K. ↓, Bombans G. ↑,
- 64', Sitjakovs R. 🟨,
- 69', Paulo Eduardo ↓, Ouedraogo M. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 2, Marchuk A. ⚽, Sitjakovs R. (A),
- 77', Kragliks R. 🟨,
- 77', Sitjakovs R. ↓, Sprukts E. ↑,
- 78', Glaudans A. 🟨,
- 88', Jackson Kenio ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 89', Skadmanis K. 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Jeudi S. ⚽, Traore A. (A),
- 90+3', Skadmanis K. ↓, Zants T. ↑,
- 90+5', Monteiro E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Auda Riga
71.4% | Draw
17.1% | Super Nova
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auda Riga's performance.Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auda Riga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Auda Riga - Super Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.46) |
5.44 ↑
(4.3) |
8.07 ↑
(5.91) |
7.7%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Auda Riga - Super Nova?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Auda will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Super Nova will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auda won 4.
- In recent matches, Auda has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Super Nova has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Super Nova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Super Nova has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Auda is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Auda won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:16. (average 2.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auda won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:10. (average 2.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Super Nova?
Auda Riga has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Auda Riga?
Super Nova has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auda Riga - Super Nova were as follows:
18.08.2025
Auda Riga
-
Super Nova
3:1
01.07.2025
Super Nova
-
Auda Riga
0:1
11.05.2025
Super Nova
-
Auda Riga
1:1
02.09.2023
Auda Riga
-
Super Nova
1:0
25.06.2023
Super Nova
-
Auda Riga
0:5
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latest results of Super Nova
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 76 |
| 2 | RFS | 29 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 77:30 | 47 | 70 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 51:43 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:54 | -7 | 43 |
| 5 | Auda | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 38:39 | -1 | 43 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 32 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 36:48 | -12 | 26 |
| 9 | Metta | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30:62 | -32 | 24 |
| 10 | Grobina | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 28:56 | -28 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
