Result
1:2
23/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (192/287) | 78% (273/352) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (192/287) | 78% (273/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (32/73) | 52% (30/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (46/89) | 73% (88/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 59% (10/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.10 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Patijcuks D. ⚽,
- 20', Emsis E. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 2, Rodolphe E. ⚽, Amatkarijo C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Berzins L. ↓, Cirulis J. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 2, Bamba ⚽, Facu (A),
- 58', Patijcuks D. 🟨,
- 69', Ndiaye I. ↓, Tihonovics M. ↑,
- 69', Barkovskis N. ↓, Sitjakovs R. ↑,
- 73', Patijcuks D. ↓, Pulis I. ↑,
- 73', Ogunniyi A. ↓, Fellipe Vieira ↑,
- 74', Bamba ↓, Pathe N. ↑,
- 75', Korobenko A. 🟨,
- 78', Pulis I. 🟨,
- 79', Cirulis J. 🟨,
- 81', Emsis E. ↓, Grikovs A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Super Nova
25.9% | Draw
26.5% | Liepāja
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+2%)
Super Nova - Liepāja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.55 ↓
(4.05) |
3.47 ↓
(3.6) |
1.93 ↑
(1.76) |
8.7%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Super Nova - Liepāja?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Super Nova will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Liepāja will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Super Nova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Super Nova has had a series of away games.
- Liepāja could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.5:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Liepāja?
Super Nova has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Super Nova?
Liepāja has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Liepāja were as follows:
09.11.2025
Super Nova
-
Liepāja
3:0
25.08.2025
Liepāja
-
Super Nova
0:3
17.06.2025
Super Nova
-
Liepāja
1:3
25.04.2025
Liepāja
-
Super Nova
2:2
11.11.2023
Liepāja
-
Super Nova
2:0
Latest results of Super Nova
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 20 | 20 |
| 3 | Auda | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Super Nova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | FK Liepaja | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Grobina | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Jelgava | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
