Ballymena United vs Ards – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Ballymena Showgrounds (Ballymena).

NORTHERN IRELAND: Irish Cup - 1/16-finals

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Newell L. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Steele A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 2, Devine E. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Ballymena United
67.3%

Draw
19.5%

Ards
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

21.4%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

18.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ballymena United's performance.

Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ards might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ballymena United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ards than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ards could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ballymena United - Ards Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.56)	4.72 ↑ (4.28)	6.95 ↑ (4.58)	8.7% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

How many head-to-head matches has Ballymena United won against Ards?

Ballymena United has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ards won against Ballymena United?

Ards has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ballymena United - Ards were as follows:

05.11.2024 Ballymena United - Ards 1:0

05.07.2024 Ballymena United - Ards 3:0

14.09.2022 Ards - Ballymena United 2:4

Latest results of Ballymena United

30.12.2024 Ballymena United - Glenavon 0:2 ✺

26.12.2024 Coleraine - Ballymena United 2:2 ✺

21.12.2024 Loughgall - Ballymena United 2:3 ✺

14.12.2024 Ballymena United - Dungannon Swifts 0:1 ✺

30.11.2024 Ballymena United - Carrick Rangers 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Ards

31.12.2024 Ards - Dundela 1:3 ✺

26.12.2024 Bangor - Ards 0:0 ✺

14.12.2024 Ards - Newry City 0:1 ✺

07.12.2024 Ards - Ballinamallard United 0:1 ✺

30.11.2024 Harland & Wolff Welders - Ards 4:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/32-finals

1	Limavady	Bye
2	Lisburn Rangers	Dergview	5 : 4
3	Linfield	Bye
4	Bye	Bangor FC
5	Carrick Rangers	Bye
6	Bye	Queens Univ.
7	Coleraine	Bye
8	Bye	Crusaders
9	Bye	Loughgall
10	Wakehurst	Knockbreda	2 : 4
11	Ballinamallard	Bye
12	Bye	Institute
13	Cliftonville	Bye
14	Bye	Dundela
15	Glenavon	Bye
16	Bye	Newington
17	Portadown	Bye
18	Bye	Annagh
19	Dungannon	Bye
20	Bye	Ards
21	Newbuildings	Moyola	1 : 2
22	Bye	H&W Welders
23	Comber Rec	Hanover	3 : 1
24	Ballymacash	Willowbank	4 : 0
25	Strabane Athletic	Rathfriland	2 : 1
26	Bye	Glentoran
27	Armagh	Bye
28	Newry City	Drumaness	1 : 2
29	Lisburn Distillery	Finaghy	4 : 2
30	Bye	Warrenpoint
31	Ballymena	Bye
32	Bye	Larne

1/16-finals

1	Limavady	Lisburn Rangers	4 : 1
2	Linfield	Bangor FC	1 : 0
3	Carrick Rangers	Queens Univ.	5 : 1
4	Coleraine	Crusaders	4 : 0
5	Loughgall	Knockbreda	2 : 0
6	Ballinamallard	Institute	0 : 3
7	Cliftonville	Dundela	3 : 0
8	Glenavon	Newington	4 : 2
9	Portadown	Annagh	4 : 2
10	Dungannon	Ards	3 : 0
11	Moyola	H&W Welders	2 : 4
12	Comber Rec	Ballymacash	0 : 3
13	Strabane Athletic	Glentoran	0 : 4
14	Armagh	Drumaness	1 : 4
15	Lisburn Distillery	Warrenpoint	3 : 4
16	Ballymena	Larne	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Limavady	Linfield	1 : 0
2	Carrick Rangers	Coleraine	1 : 4
3	Loughgall	Institute	2 : 1
4	Cliftonville	Glenavon	2 : 1
5	Portadown	Dungannon	1 : 2
6	H&W Welders	Ballymacash	3 : 0
7	Glentoran	Drumaness	5 : 0
8	Warrenpoint	Larne	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Limavady	Coleraine
2	Loughgall	Cliftonville
3	Dungannon	H&W Welders
4	Glentoran	Larne