Result
0:1
20/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 3.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 33 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (179/251) | 86% (407/476) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 3.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 2.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 33 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 13 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 23 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 17 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 76 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (179/251) | 86% (407/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (23/50) | 45% (17/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (30/65) | 80% (194/244) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 31% (11/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Eremenko S. 🟨,
- 41', Popovitch A. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Myrevik J. ↓, Polley R. ↑,
- 58', Akinyemi A. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
- 58', Wallius K. ↓, Raymond A. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 1, Kanga J. ⚽,
- 63', Kahkonen S. 🟨,
- 63', Eremenko S. ↓, Vidjeskog A. ↑,
- 63', Valencic F. ↓, Vikstrom R. ↑,
- 72', Kahkonen S. ↓, Sotelo G. ↑,
- 76', Riski Ro. ↓, Hytonen T. ↑,
- 76', Veteli J. ↓, Tiitinen O. ↑,
- 81', Miettunen T. 🟨,
- 82', Gunnarsson E. 🟨,
- 86', Santos M. 🟨,
- 86', Cissoko K. 🟥,
- 86', Jukkola O. 🟨,
- 86', Bjorkskog A. ↓, Remesaho J. ↑,
- 90+4', Virtanen O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
FF Jaro
16.9% | Draw
22% | Ilves
61.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FF Jaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FF Jaro's form might have worsened.Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FF Jaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
FF Jaro - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.59 ↑
(4.12) |
4.31 ↑
(3.68) |
1.54 ↓
(1.76) |
6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for FF Jaro - Ilves?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Jaro will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Ilves will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ilves: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Jaro (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ilves (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Jaro has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ilves is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has FF Jaro won against Ilves?
FF Jaro has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against FF Jaro?
Ilves has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FF Jaro - Ilves were as follows:
12.04.2025
Ilves
-
FF Jaro
2:1
22.02.2025
Ilves
-
FF Jaro
4:0
Latest results of FF Jaro
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
| 9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
