Result
02/05/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
SJK
36.3% | Draw
25.5% | Ilves
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SJK than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
SJK - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57
(2.57) |
3.65 ↓
(3.74) |
2.46 ↑
(2.42) |
7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SJK won 2.
- In recent matches, SJK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ilves has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- SJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SJK won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:30. (average 1.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, SJK won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 2.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has SJK won against Ilves?
SJK has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against SJK?
Ilves has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SJK - Ilves were as follows:
18.02.2026
Ilves
-
SJK
3:1
03.11.2025
Ilves
-
SJK
3:3
04.10.2025
SJK
-
Ilves
2:1
05.07.2025
SJK
-
Ilves
1:1
18.06.2025
Ilves
-
SJK
2:3
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | AC Oulu | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | HJK | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | TPS | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Lahti | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | VPS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | SJK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Jaro | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Mariehamn | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
| 11 | Ilves | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | Gnistan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
