Nacional Asuncion vs Atlético Tembetary – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary
Result
1:1
22/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 9

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.65
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
69% (165/240)75% (239/320)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.50
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
69% (165/240)75% (239/320)
Long passes
38% (21/56)39% (23/59)
Passes in final third
46% (34/74)56% (52/93)
Crosses
21% (4/19)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.36
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
1515
Tackles
56% (10/18)64% (9/14)
Duels won
6959
Clearances
2736
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.501.06
Goals prevented
-0.500.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', Benitez H. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Benitez H. , Valdez I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Zarate D. , Perez E. ,
  • 46', Barreto O. , Favero C. ,
  • 46', Campss J. , Prieto R. ,
  • 46', Prieto R. 🟨,
  • 48', Benitez H. 🟨,
  • 52', Jara F. , Meza L. ,
  • 52', Arrua C. , Maciel A. R. ,
  • 54', Perez E. 🟨,
  • 59', Mercado C. , Colman D. ,
  • 60', Favero C. 🟨,
  • 62', Esteche J. F. , Gamarra Escobar R. A. ,
  • 66', Franco F. , Gaona Lugo O. ,
  • 73', Nunez C. 🟨,
  • 75', Valdez I. 🟨,
  • 77', Marotta N. , Morel A. ,
  • 78', Valdez I. , Colman C. ,
  • 85', Charpentier P. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Perez E. , Rojas R. (A),
  • 90+9', Meza L. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Nacional Asuncion
65.1%
Draw
23.3%
Atlético Tembetary
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 26.4% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 25.5% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Asuncion's performance.
  • Atlético Tembetary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Tembetary might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Asuncion that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Tembetary could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.65)
    3.98
    (3.5)
    7.82
    (5.28)
    7.8%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary?
  • Users Predictions: Nacional Asuncion will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nacional Asuncion will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 12).
    • Recent performances by Nacional have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tembetary has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Tembetary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Nacional has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Nacional won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion 1:2
    01.03.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary 1:0
    Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Porteno962118:12620
    2Sp. Luqueno952213:7617
    3Sportivo Trinidense952215:10517
    4Guarani851218:9916
    5Nacional Asuncion944111:5616
    6Libertad Asuncion833210:4612
    7General Caballero JLM93247:11-411
    82 de Mayo924310:13-310
    9Recoleta923412:15-39
    10Olimpia Asuncion923411:16-59
    11Ameliano91267:18-115
    12Atl. Tembetary90277:19-122

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