Result
1:1
22/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 9
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.01 | 0.65 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
69% (165/240) | 75% (239/320) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.01 | 0.65 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.06 | 0.50 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
69% (165/240) | 75% (239/320) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (21/56) | 39% (23/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
46% (34/74) | 56% (52/93) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (4/19) | 32% (6/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.50 | 1.36 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (10/18) | 64% (9/14) |
Duels won |
---|
69 | 59 |
Clearances |
---|
27 | 36 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.50 | 1.06 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.50 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', Benitez H. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Benitez H. ⚽, Valdez I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Zarate D. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 46', Barreto O. ↓, Favero C. ↑,
- 46', Campss J. ↓, Prieto R. ↑,
- 46', Prieto R. 🟨,
- 48', Benitez H. 🟨,
- 52', Jara F. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
- 52', Arrua C. ↓, Maciel A. R. ↑,
- 54', Perez E. 🟨,
- 59', Mercado C. ↓, Colman D. ↑,
- 60', Favero C. 🟨,
- 62', Esteche J. F. ↓, Gamarra Escobar R. A. ↑,
- 66', Franco F. ↓, Gaona Lugo O. ↑,
- 73', Nunez C. 🟨,
- 75', Valdez I. 🟨,
- 77', Marotta N. ↓, Morel A. ↑,
- 78', Valdez I. ↓, Colman C. ↑,
- 85', Charpentier P. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 1, Perez E. ⚽, Rojas R. (A),
- 90+9', Meza L. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion 65.1% | Draw 23.3% | Atlético Tembetary 11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Asuncion's performance.Atlético Tembetary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Tembetary might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Asuncion that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Tembetary could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.43 ↓ (1.65) |
3.98 ↑ (3.5) |
7.82 ↑ (5.28) |
7.8% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary?
Users Predictions:
Nacional Asuncion will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nacional Asuncion will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 12).
- Recent performances by Nacional have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tembetary has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tembetary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Nacional has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Nacional won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Atlético Tembetary?
Nacional Asuncion has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tembetary won against Nacional Asuncion?
Atlético Tembetary has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary were as follows:
09.05.2025
Atlético Tembetary
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:2
01.03.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Atlético Tembetary
1:0
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Atlético Tembetary
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cerro Porteno | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18:12 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Sp. Luqueno | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
4 | Guarani | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 16 |
5 | Nacional Asuncion | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
6 | Libertad Asuncion | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 12 |
7 | General Caballero JLM | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
8 | 2 de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Recoleta | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 9 |
10 | Olimpia Asuncion | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Ameliano | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 |
12 | Atl. Tembetary | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )