Sambiase vs Ragusa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group I - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', 0 - 1, Guzzo C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Palermo F. ,

Chances of winning


Sambiase
51.5%
Draw
28.8%
Ragusa
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 26.8% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 25.8% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sambiase has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sambiase's performance.
  • Ragusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ragusa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambiase than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sambiase that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ragusa than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ragusa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sambiase - Ragusa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.15)
    3.14
    (3.38)
    4.58
    (2.92)
    10.7%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Sambiase is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sambiase won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sambiase won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sambiase - Ragusa were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Ragusa - Sambiase 1:2
    02.03.2025 Sambiase - Ragusa 2:1
    Latest results of Sambiase
    11.01.2026 Castrumfavara - Sambiase 0:2
    21.12.2025 Sambiase - Reggina 0:1
    14.12.2025 Nissa - Sambiase 0:0
    07.12.2025 Sambiase - Milazzo 0:1
    Latest results of Ragusa
    11.01.2026 Ragusa - Gela 2:3
    04.01.2026 Enna - Ragusa 0:0
    21.12.2025 Athletic Palermo - Ragusa 2:1
    14.12.2025 Ragusa - Acireale 2:0
    07.12.2025 Sancataldese - Ragusa 0:0
    Italian Serie D - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Savoia33199560:293166
    2Nissa331810547:262164
    3Reggina33196840:211963
    4Athletic Palermo ✔ 331761057:461157
    5Gelbison ✔ 33169843:321157
    6Igea Virtus331513548:321653
    7Sambiase331411836:261053
    8Milazzo331281331:35-444
    9Gela331351541:43-243
    10Vigor Lamezia331091439:34539
    11Castrumfavara331071636:45-937
    12Enna338111448:51-335
    13USD Ragusa337131322:32-1034
    14AS Acireale337121437:49-1232
    15Vibonese337111531:47-1632
    16ACR Messina3310131027:33-629
    17Sancataldese33781831:46-1529
    18Paterno ✔ 33472221:68-4719

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Athletic Palermo is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
    Gelbison is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
    Paterno is Relegated to