Treaty United vs Dundalk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:7
22/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
618
Shots on target
210
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
618
Shots on target
210
Shots off target
48
Corner Kicks
22
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 4)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Horgan D. ,
  • 20', 0 - 2, Horgan D. ,
  • 31', 0 - 3, Arubi G. ,
  • 37', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 4, O'Connor E. (Own goal),
  • 45+3', Wilson C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', O'Connor E. , Doherty F. ,
  • 46', Murphy M. , Horgan C. ,
  • 49', Conroy C. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 5, Kenny E. ,
  • 66', McDaid D. , Ebbe D. ,
  • 66', Groome H. , Ward K. ,
  • 66', Arubi G. , Vaughan R. ,
  • 66', Kenny E. , Garbett N. ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 73', Ferry P. , Hanson J. ,
  • 73', Conroy C. , Healy S. ,
  • 77', 0 - 6, Vaughan R. ,
  • 79', O'Keeffe C. , Paraschiv A. ,
  • 82', Chambers C. 🟨,
  • 83', 0 - 7, Horgan D. (Pen),
  • 85', Wilson C. , Boevi R. ,

Chances of winning


Treaty United
13.6%
Draw
17.5%
Dundalk
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.9% 26.5% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5% 26% 54.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Treaty United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Treaty United's form might have worsened.
  • Dundalk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dundalk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Treaty United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dundalk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Treaty United - Dundalk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.99
    (4.68)
    6.18
    (3.52)
    1.57
    (1.74)
    -7.7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Treaty United - Dundalk?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Treaty United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Dundalk will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Treaty United (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Dundalk (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Treaty United (votes: 1 - 50%). Dundalk (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Treaty United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Dundalk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Dundalk has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Dundalk is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Treaty United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Treaty United - Dundalk were as follows:
    20.06.2025 Dundalk - Treaty United 1:1
    18.04.2025 Treaty United - Dundalk 1:1
    07.03.2025 Dundalk - Treaty United 2:2
    Latest results of Treaty United
    Latest results of Dundalk
    08.08.2025 Dundalk - Athlone Town 6:1
    04.08.2025 Dundalk - Longford Town 4:1
    25.07.2025 Dundalk - Wexford 3:2
    18.07.2025 Dundalk - Sligo Rovers 0:2
    Irish Division 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cork City33006:159
    2Athlone32105:327
    3UC Dublin32015:326
    4Wexford31116:604
    5Finn Harps31114:404
    6Bray31112:204
    7Cobh Ramblers31113:5-24
    8Longford30213:4-12
    9Kerry30122:4-21
    10Treaty United30030:4-40

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