Result
1:1
17/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Curtis C. ⚽,
- 45', Hakkinen J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Borden V. ↓, McGrath S. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Kelliher R. ⚽,
- 49', Oyenuga J. 🟨,
- 52', Brookwell N. 🟨,
- 60', Healy A. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
- 63', Cantwell K. 🟨,
- 84', Bargary C. 🟨,
- 87', Lynch B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kerry
42.9% | Draw
29.4% | Treaty United
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kerry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kerry's performance.Treaty United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Kerry - Treaty United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.45) |
3.12 ↑
(2.98) |
3.31 ↑
(2.92) |
8.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 1.
- Kerry is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Treaty United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kerry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kerry won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Kerry won against Treaty United?
Kerry has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Treaty United won against Kerry?
Treaty United has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kerry - Treaty United were as follows:
06.03.2026
Treaty United
-
Kerry
2:2
13.01.2026
Kerry
-
Treaty United
2:4
26.09.2025
Kerry
-
Treaty United
1:1
04.08.2025
Treaty United
-
Kerry
1:1
09.05.2025
Kerry
-
Treaty United
1:0
Latest results of Treaty United
Irish Division 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cork City | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | UC Dublin | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20:8 | 12 | 24 |
| 3 | Wexford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Athlone | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 20 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 19 |
| 6 | Bray | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Longford | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 14 |
| 8 | Finn Harps | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Kerry | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Treaty United | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Premier Division
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Play Offs: )
