Mostaganem vs USM Alger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
17/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 12

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 🟨,
  • 8', 0 - 1, ,
  • 18', 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 1, ,
  • 33', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, ,
  • 75', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Mostaganem
23.1%
Draw
32.6%
USM Alger
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 34.4% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 33.3% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mostaganem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mostaganem's form might have worsened.
  • USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting USM Alger's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mostaganem than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for USM Alger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mostaganem - USM Alger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.03
    (3.24)
    2.86
    (2.7)
    2.1
    (2.52)
    7.4%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Mostaganem - USM Alger?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Mostaganem (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: USM Alger will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): USM Alger will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mostaganem (votes: 1 - 20%). USM Alger (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 9).
    • Mostaganem is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • USM Alger is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, USM Alger is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that USM Alger will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mostaganem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mostaganem - USM Alger were as follows:
    06.03.2025 USM Alger - Mostaganem 1:0
    Latest results of Mostaganem
    08.11.2025 Khenchela - Mostaganem 1:0
    02.11.2025 Mostaganem - Belouizdad 0:2
    26.10.2025 Paradou - Mostaganem 1:0
    17.10.2025 Mostaganem - ASO Chlef 0:1
    04.10.2025 MC Alger - Mostaganem 1:0
    Latest results of USM Alger
    08.11.2025 Belouizdad - USM Alger 0:0
    02.11.2025 USM Alger - ASO Chlef 1:0
    29.10.2025 ES Sétif - USM Alger 1:3
    25.10.2025 USM Alger - AFAD Djékanou 3:0
    04.10.2025 Constantine - USM Alger 1:1
    Algerian Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MC Alger17114218:81037
    2Constantine21106525:16936
    3Saoura20104624:22234
    4Olympique Akbou1995525:21432
    5Oran2086623:18530
    6Ben Aknoun1976624:23127
    7Rouisset2176820:22-227
    8CR Belouizdad1768320:14626
    9ES Setif2168722:25-326
    10USM Alger17510219:14525
    11Kabylie1767419:16325
    12Khenchela1967621:22-125
    13ASO Chlef2157918:21-322
    14Paradou19521221:30-917
    15Mostaganem21351312:24-1214
    16El Bayadh21271211:26-1513

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2