Result
 
                    0:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        25/04/2025 at  14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Challenge League - Round 32
 
                                                - Referee: Gianforte N. (Sui)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.28 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 62% | 38% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 20 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 6 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 83% (398/479) | 72% (207/288) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.28 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.44 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 20 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 6 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 8 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 6 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 13 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 18 | 24 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 14 | 15 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 83% (398/479) | 72% (207/288) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 63% (51/81) | 41% (26/63) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 66% (57/86) | 51% (51/100) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 29% (4/14) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.64 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 26 | 22 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 15 | 14 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 71% (12/17) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 61 | 44 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 23 | 14 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 4 | 9 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.51 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.56 | 1.51 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
 - 18', 0 - 1, Bertone L. (Pen), 
 - 20', Goncalves M. 🟨, 
 - 28', 0 - 2, Rastoder E. ⚽, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 0)
 - 46', Gunnarsson N. ↓, Lentini F. ↑, 
 - 46', Touati H. ↓, Kone K. ↑, 
 - 51', Saiz F. 🟨, 
 - 55', Castroman M. ↓, Roth J. ↑, 
 - 55', Rastoder E. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑, 
 - 74', Janjicic V. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑, 
 - 74', Stewart L. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑, 
 - 76', Mulaj L. ↓, Azemi A. ↑, 
 - 76', Saiz F. ↓, Hautier J. ↑, 
 - 79', Hautier J. 🟨, 
 - 86', Demhasaj S. ↓, Ben Seghir S. ↑, 
 - 87', Reichmuth N. ↓, Sessolo H. ↑, 
 - 90+5', Cabral E. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Neuchâtel Xamax  22.2% | Draw  24.6% | Thun  53.2% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Neuchâtel Xamax - Thun Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   4.17 ↑ (3.65) | 
			   3.76 ↓ (3.79) | 
			   1.74 ↓ (1.85) | 
			   7.9% (7.9%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Last 5 head-to-head matches Xamax won 1. 
 - Recent matches Xamax is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - Thun is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4). 
 - In this match Thun is a favorite.
 - Last 20 head-to-head matches Xamax won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 28:36 (average 1.4:1.8). 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Xamax won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:21 (average 1.9:1.9).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Neuchâtel Xamax won against Thun?
                    
                    
                        
                            Neuchâtel Xamax has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Neuchâtel Xamax?
                    
                    
                        
                             Thun has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Neuchâtel Xamax - Thun were as follows:
                                                        
                                28.03.2025 
                                Thun 
                                - 
                                Neuchâtel Xamax 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.11.2024 
                                Neuchâtel Xamax 
                                - 
                                Thun 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.09.2024 
                                Thun 
                                - 
                                Neuchâtel Xamax 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.04.2024 
                                Thun 
                                - 
                                Neuchâtel Xamax 
                                4:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                23.02.2024 
                                Neuchâtel Xamax 
                                - 
                                Thun 
                                4:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Aarau | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 26:10 | 16 | 33 | 
| 2 | Vaduz | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 27 | 
| 3 | Yverdon | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25:14 | 11 | 23 | 
| 4 | Xamax | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 | 
| 5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 19 | 
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 | 
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:17 | -5 | 11 | 
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12:19 | -7 | 10 | 
| 9 | Wil | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9:23 | -14 | 8 | 
| 10 | Bellinzona | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5:28 | -23 | 4 | 
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