Result
1:3
01/05/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 33
- Referee: Piccolo L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Zoom |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (349/429) | 76% (284/374) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (349/429) | 76% (284/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (27/48) | 43% (23/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (110/152) | 64% (84/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Reinhard S. 🟨,
- 11', 0 - 1, Filet E. ⚽, Zoukit N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, Kone K. ⚽, Demhasaj S. (A),
- 55', Demhasaj S. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 2, Obexer L. ⚽, Afriyie D. (A),
- 65', 1 - 3, Filet E. ⚽, Muller S. (A),
- 67', Carraco D. ↓, Bayard R. ↑,
- 67', Mulaj L. ↓, Azemi A. ↑,
- 70', Zoukit N. 🟨,
- 74', Fontana J. ↓, Nvendo Ferrier V. ↑,
- 78', Frokaj L. ↓, Aliu I. ↑,
- 78', Afriyie D. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
- 85', Kone K. ↓, Hautier J. ↑,
- 85', Ben Seghir S. ↓, Zahaj E. ↑,
- 86', Obexer L. 🟨,
- 88', Filet E. ↓, Chacon T. ↑,
- 88', Fazliu V. ↓, Jackle O. ↑,
- 90+3', Obexer L. ↓, Senyurt B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Neuchâtel Xamax
20% | Draw
22.1% | Aarau
57.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neuchâtel Xamax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.6
(4.6) |
4.16 ↓
(4.44) |
1.59
(1.59) |
8.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Xamax will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aarau will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Xamax (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Xamax (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Aarau is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Xamax: Bayard R.
(Injury)
Deme M.
(Injury)
Epitaux Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Sacramento dos Santos G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Xamax won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Neuchâtel Xamax won against Aarau?
Neuchâtel Xamax has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Neuchâtel Xamax?
Aarau has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau were as follows:
21.03.2026
Aarau
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
1:0
28.11.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Aarau
1:2
09.08.2025
Aarau
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
2:0
11.04.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Aarau
1:1
07.03.2025
Aarau
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
2:0
Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 67:35 | 32 | 74 |
| 2 | Aarau | 33 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 73 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 66:40 | 26 | 60 |
| 4 | Xamax | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 43 |
| 5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 47:47 | 0 | 40 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 32 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 43:53 | -10 | 38 |
| 7 | Wil | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 34:49 | -15 | 37 |
| 8 | Etoile-Carouge | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 38:44 | -6 | 36 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 34:62 | -28 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
