Recanatese vs Castelfidardo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
02/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Selemby B. ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Pierfederici G. ,
  • 19', 2 - 1, Pesaresi ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Recanatese
47.5%
Draw
26.6%
Castelfidardo
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 25.7% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 25.2% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Recanatese - Castelfidardo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.04)
    3.43
    (3.53)
    3.51
    (3.05)
    9.7%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recanatese won 1.
    • In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
    • Recently, Recanatese has had a series of away games.
    • Recanatese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Recanatese won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Recanatese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Recanatese - Castelfidardo were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Castelfidardo - Recanatese 1:1
    Latest results of Recanatese
    26.10.2025 UniPomezia - Recanatese 1:0
    05.10.2025 Ancona - Recanatese 2:0
    24.09.2025 L Aquila - Recanatese 2:1
    21.09.2025 Recanatese - Termoli 1:1
    Latest results of Castelfidardo
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ancona26194349:163361
    2Ostiamare26186253:173660
    3Teramo26177251:222958
    4L Aquila26145748:331547
    5Atletico Ascoli26129547:272045
    6Vigor Senigallia261010628:25340
    7Giulianova26912533:27639
    8Notaresco Calcio26911629:24538
    9Fossombrone2689920:24-433
    10Unipomezia26881032:34-232
    11Maceratese26931435:38-330
    12Sora26791033:39-630
    13Termoli26512922:26-427
    14Recanatese26561528:48-2021
    15Calcio Chieti26491323:47-2421
    16San Marino Calcio26551622:47-2520
    17Sammaurese26461627:57-3018
    18Castelfidardo26431922:51-2915

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation