Result
3:1
15/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Maio F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 21', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 85', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 🟥,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atletico Ascoli
64.6% | Draw
21.3% | Castelfidardo
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Atletico Ascoli - Castelfidardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.46) |
4.28 ↑
(3.93) |
6.47 ↑
(6.24) |
9.8%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Atletico Ascoli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Castelfidardo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Atletico Ascoli is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atletico Ascoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Atletico Ascoli won against Castelfidardo?
Atletico Ascoli has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castelfidardo won against Atletico Ascoli?
Castelfidardo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atletico Ascoli - Castelfidardo were as follows:
12.10.2025
Castelfidardo
-
Atletico Ascoli
1:6
Latest results of Atletico Ascoli
Latest results of Castelfidardo
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 40 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 37 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 36 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | L Aquila | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | -6 | 38 |
| 13 | Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | -10 | 38 |
| 14 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 35 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | -18 | 32 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | -28 | 31 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | -35 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | -39 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
