Peñarol de Montevideo vs Juventud de Las Piedras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
122
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
81
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
01
Total shots
122
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Mas E. 🟥,
  • 36', Otormin L. , Gomez N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Fernandez L. ,
  • 51', Sosa S. 🟨,
  • 68', Guerrero S. , Rodriguez T. ,
  • 77', Remedi E. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 77', Arezo M. , Garcia Cardozo D. G. ,
  • 77', Gularte E. , Silva G. ,
  • 77', Barrandeguy F. , Aja J. ,
  • 77', Perez F. , Vigo F. ,
  • 88', Martinez G. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Rodriguez T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
66.9%
Draw
21.2%
Juventud de Las Piedras
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66% 21.8% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2% 20.5% 11.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.41)
    4.4
    (4.26)
    7.7
    (7.55)
    7.5%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Juventud will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 3.
    • Peñarol is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Juventud has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Peñarol is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:6. (average 1.9:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:2. (average 2.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras were as follows:
    27.03.2025 Juventud de Las Piedras - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo751113:6716
    2Penarol751112:6616
    3Montevideo City742111:6514
    4Maldonado741211:8313
    5Liverpool M73227:5211
    6Danubio732211:10111
    7Defensor Sp73226:5111
    8Wanderers73226:9-311
    9Central Esp73138:7110
    10Nacional73138:8010
    11Cerro Largo73048:809
    12Albion72238:808
    13Boston River71243:7-45
    14Progreso71245:11-65
    15Juventud71157:12-54
    16CA Cerro70253:11-82

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