Result
1:0
25/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Olmos A. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Guasone J. 🟨,
- 19', Cecchini E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Suarez D. ↓, Arguello M. ↑,
- 53', Alaniz A. ↓, Pereiro G. ↑,
- 60', Mederos R. ↓, Aleman B. ↑,
- 60', Cambon A. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
- 61', Cecchini E. ↓, Izaguirre M. ↑,
- 61', Gomez G. ↓, Lago P. ↑,
- 67', Bregante F. ↓, Lima A. ↑,
- 72', Caceres M. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 0, Lima A. ⚽,
- 76', Paiva S. ↓, Nongoy P. ↑,
- 77', Cruz A. ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
- 77', Mas E. ↓, Rabino R. ↑,
- 79', Barros C. 🟨,
- 83', Correa Gonzalez F. N. 🟨,
- 90+1', Pereiro G. 🟨,
- 90+5', Arguello M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro
31.8% | Draw
31.6% | Juventud de Las Piedras
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro's form might have worsened.Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventud de Las Piedras's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventud de Las Piedras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.25) |
2.92 ↑
(2.85) |
2.53 ↓
(2.9) |
8.2%
(14%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Juventud will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Juventud (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventud (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 1.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Juventud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:37. (average 1.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Juventud de Las Piedras?
Cerro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventud de Las Piedras won against Cerro?
Juventud de Las Piedras has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras were as follows:
31.08.2025
Juventud de Las Piedras
-
Cerro
1:0
08.03.2025
Cerro
-
Juventud de Las Piedras
2:1
25.08.2022
Juventud de Las Piedras
-
Cerro
1:1
Latest results of Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Albion | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Penarol | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensor Sp | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | Central Esp | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Liverpool M | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Nacional | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | Danubio | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Boston River | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 17 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Progreso | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
