Result
1:3
05/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 1, Renteria M. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 2, Klinger J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', 1 - 3, Cagua M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cumbayá 47.5% | Draw 29.1% | Independiente Juniors 23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cumbayá's form might have worsened.Independiente Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cumbayá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Cumbayá - Independiente Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.92 ↑ (1.71) |
3.13 ↓ (3.2) |
3.9 ↓ (4.8) |
9.6% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cumbayá - Independiente Juniors?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Independiente Jr will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cumbayá: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cumbayá (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
- Cumbayá is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Independiente Jr has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Independiente Jr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cumbayá is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cumbayá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cumbayá won against Independiente Juniors?
Cumbayá has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Juniors won against Cumbayá?
Independiente Juniors has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cumbayá - Independiente Juniors were as follows:
25.03.2025
Independiente Juniors
-
Cumbayá
0:2
Latest results of Cumbayá
Latest results of Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vinotinto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | EL Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | LDU Portoviejo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ind. Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Gualaceo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Nueve de Octubre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Cumbaya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 22 de Julio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atletico FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Cuenca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Dep. Santo Domingo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
Serie B (Relegation Group: )