Result
2:1
16/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Independiente Juniors
32.6% | Draw
30.5% | Gualaceo
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gualaceo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gualaceo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.6) |
3.07 ↑
(2.83) |
2.53 ↓
(2.91) |
6.9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Gualaceo (1.66) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente Juniors will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente Jr (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Gualaceo (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Independiente Jr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Gualaceo has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente Jr won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Juniors won against Gualaceo?
Independiente Juniors has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gualaceo won against Independiente Juniors?
Gualaceo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo were as follows:
16.09.2025
Gualaceo
-
Independiente Juniors
1:0
24.07.2025
Gualaceo
-
Independiente Juniors
0:1
13.05.2025
Independiente Juniors
-
Gualaceo
1:1
16.10.2024
Gualaceo
-
Independiente Juniors
2:1
30.08.2024
Independiente Juniors
-
Gualaceo
4:1
Latest results of Independiente Juniors
Latest results of Gualaceo
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Juniors | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Atletico FC | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 3 | Nueve de Octubre | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Cuenca Juniors | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Vinotinto | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | LDU Portoviejo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Gualaceo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Dep. Santo Domingo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Cumbaya | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 2 |
| 12 | EL Nacional | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | -1 |
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
Serie B (Relegation Group: )
