Result
0:0
20/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Cannatov M. 🟨,
- 34', Ba Loua A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', Manafov T. 🟨,
- 38', Vasquez R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Badolo C. ↓, Ninkovic N. ↑,
- 60', Manafov T. ↓, Rashidov N. ↑,
- 60', Ba Loua A. ↓, Massoumou D. J. ↑,
- 69', Kehat R. ↓, Abdullazada S. ↑,
- 71', Akinade I. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
- 71', Sissoko S. ↓, Ahmadov E. ↑,
- 81', Moumini A. ↓, Orujov N. ↑,
- 81', Jankovic A. ↓, Mustafaev E. ↑,
- 86', Vasquez R. ↓, Simon N. ↑,
- 90', Sierra J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Owusu P. ↓, Quimbila P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sumgayit
47.1% | Draw
28.6% | Gabala
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Sumgayit - Gabala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.03) |
3.18 ↑
(3.03) |
3.74 ↑
(3.56) |
10%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sumgayit - Gabala?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 4.
- Sumgayit is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gabala has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sumgayit won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Gabala?
Sumgayit has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Sumgayit?
Gabala has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sumgayit - Gabala were as follows:
07.11.2025
Gabala
-
Sumgayit
0:2
25.05.2024
Sumgayit
-
Gabala
1:0
23.01.2024
Gabala
-
Sumgayit
0:1
29.10.2023
Sumgayit
-
Gabala
0:0
19.08.2023
Gabala
-
Sumgayit
1:2
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 64:19 | 45 | 65 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 33:18 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | Zira | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 42:23 | 19 | 40 |
| 6 | Araz | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:47 | -11 | 39 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 32 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 19:37 | -18 | 23 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 25:42 | -17 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
