Result
2:1
12/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 27
- Referee: Rahimov K. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Ozobic F. ⚽,
- 17', Ahmadzada N. 🟨,
- 34', Simon N. ↓, Badolo C. ↑,
- 45', Hackman E. 🟨,
- 45', Beskorovaynyi D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 0, Jo Batista ⚽,
- 58', Hadzhiyev F. 🟨,
- 60', Ahmadzada N. ↓, Ninkovic N. ↑,
- 60', Ramalingom A. ↓, Ahmadzada R. ↑,
- 60', Murata M. ↓, Abdullazada S. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Senhadji R. ⚽,
- 70', Ozobic F. ↓, Nacafov K. ↑,
- 78', Guseynov A. ↓, Yusifli F. ↑,
- 79', Senhadji R. ↓, Mustafaev E. ↑,
- 90', Orujov N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Turan Tovuz
58.8% | Draw
24.9% | Sumgayit
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Turan Tovuz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Turan Tovuz's performance.Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.72) |
3.71 ↑
(3.38) |
5.67 ↑
(4.41) |
8.1%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Turan won 4.
- Turan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sumgayit is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sumgayit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Turan is considered a favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Turan won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Turan won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Turan Tovuz won against Sumgayit?
Turan Tovuz has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Turan Tovuz?
Sumgayit has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit were as follows:
25.01.2026
Turan Tovuz
-
Sumgayit
2:1
04.10.2025
Sumgayit
-
Turan Tovuz
0:3
17.05.2025
Sumgayit
-
Turan Tovuz
0:1
20.10.2024
Sumgayit
-
Turan Tovuz
2:4
11.08.2024
Turan Tovuz
-
Sumgayit
1:0
Latest results of Turan Tovuz
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
