Accrington Stanley vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 16
  • Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.46
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
55% (149/271)64% (260/409)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.590.26
Total shots
910
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
55% (149/271)64% (260/409)
Long passes
27% (20/73)24% (20/83)
Passes in final third
51% (59/115)42% (52/123)
Crosses
7% (1/15)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.63
Throw-ins
2350
Fouls
1312
Tackles
69% (11/16)67% (12/18)
Duels won
6873
Clearances
5333
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.262.59
Goals prevented
-0.74-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Heath I. , Whalley S. (A),
  • 23', Chang A. 🟨,
  • 26', Forde S. 🟨,
  • 40', Walton T. 🟨,
  • 40', Mola C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Bilongo B. , Sotiriou R. ,
  • 57', Walton T. , Madden P. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Conteh K. ,
  • 60', Whalley S. 🟨,
  • 62', Ward B. 🟨,
  • 67', Harrison E. , Thomas L. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Rawson F. ,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Sinclair I. ,
  • 79', Grant C. , Bauress J. ,
  • 79', Whalley S. , Caton C. ,
  • 80', Mola C. , Sparkes J. ,
  • 80', Southam-Hales M. , Moore T. ,
  • 88', Coyle L. , Conneely S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
40%
Draw
29.1%
Bristol Rovers
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 26.7% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 26.4% 34.5%

Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.35
(2.42)
3.25
(3.47)
3.02
(2.66)
6.4%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Mooney K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Harrison E. (Injury) Kilgour A. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Whalley S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 1.6:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
    14.01.2023 Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers 2:0
    24.09.2022 Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley 0:1
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley23136440:261445
    2Swindon23134637:261143
    3Walsall23134632:211143
    4MK Dons23117544:251940
    5Salford23124733:30340
    6Notts Co23116636:251139
    7Chesterfield23108539:32738
    8Cambridge Utd23108526:19738
    9Fleetwood2397732:29334
    10Colchester2389637:28933
    11Gillingham23711531:26532
    12Barnet2388730:25532
    13Crewe2395934:31332
    14Oldham23710623:18531
    15Grimsby2387834:30431
    16Accrington2386926:26030
    17Tranmere2378837:37029
    18Cheltenham23831221:37-1627
    19Barrow23661125:33-824
    20Crawley23471227:40-1319
    21Shrewsbury23471221:38-1719
    22Bristol Rovers23531518:44-2618
    23Newport23451423:41-1817
    24Harrogate23451418:37-1917

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League