Result
3:4
01/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 3.78 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.64% (3/22) | 11.43% (4/35) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.57% (31/35) | 86.36% (19/22) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (2/6) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 66.67% (4/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 09:17, 1 - 0, Salmela T. (G), Kantner M. (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
- 10:23, 1 - 1, Rautiainen B. (G), Rasanen A. (A), Blichfeld J. (A2)
- 11:57, Mattila Je. (2 min),
- 12:52, 2 - 1, Nutivaara M. (G), Raty Aku (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
- 19:53, Ohtamaa A. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 11:32, Blichfeld J. (2 min),
- 16:22, Bjork M. (2 min),
- 17:29, 2 - 2, Rautiainen B. (G), Blichfeld J. (A), Brickley D. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 00:46, Matinmikko A. (2 min),
- 01:13, Mattila Ju. (2 min),
- 02:17, 3 - 2, Raty Aku (G), Hirvonen R. (A), Nutivaara M. (A2)
- 07:08, 3 - 3, Mattila Ju. (G), Haapala H. (A),
- 11:11, Jokipakka J. (2 min),
- 16:56, Salmela T. (2 min),
- 17:14, 3 - 4, Brickley D. (G), Blichfeld J. (A), Rautiainen B. (A2)
Chances of winning
Kärpät 32.9% | Draw 23% | Tappara 44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kärpät - Tappara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.85 ↑ (2.59) |
4.12 ↓ (4.33) |
2.14 ↓ (2.28) |
6% (5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 2.
- Kärpät is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tappara's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tappara has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 49:60. (average 2.5:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 3.1:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Tappara?
Kärpät has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against Kärpät?
Tappara has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - Tappara were as follows:
27.09.2025
Tappara
-
Kärpät
3:2
29.08.2025
Kärpät
-
Tappara
4:3
12.03.2025
Tappara
-
Kärpät
0:3
08.03.2025
Kärpät
-
Tappara
2:4
28.09.2024
Kärpät
-
Tappara
5:8
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 19 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 60:40 | 38 |
| 2 | JYP | 18 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 72:50 | 38 |
| 3 | Tappara | 19 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 64:45 | 35 |
| 4 | Jukurit | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 52:54 | 34 |
| 5 | SaiPa | 20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 63:52 | 34 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 20 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 58:57 | 32 |
| 7 | Lukko | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 55:48 | 31 |
| 8 | KalPa | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 56:54 | 31 |
| 9 | KooKoo | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 62:61 | 30 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 19 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 43:47 | 28 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 20 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 52:59 | 27 |
| 12 | Ilves | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56:69 | 24 |
| 13 | Karpat | 20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 66:70 | 21 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 18 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 35:48 | 21 |
| 15 | Vaasan Sport | 18 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 45:54 | 20 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 35:66 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )