Result
23/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Chances of winning
Ilves
39.3% | Draw
24.8% | Tappara
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Ilves - Tappara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.5) |
3.81 ↓
(4) |
2.62 ↑
(2.5) |
6.7%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Ilves - Tappara?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tappara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Ilves Tampere leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 3.
- Ilves is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tappara's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 58:45. (average 2.9:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 3.1:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Tappara?
Ilves has won 23 of their last 34 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against Ilves?
Tappara has won 11 of their last 34 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Tappara were as follows:
21.04.2026
Tappara
-
Ilves
3:2
19.04.2026
Ilves
-
Tappara
6:0
16.04.2026
Tappara
-
Ilves
2:3
06.03.2026
Ilves
-
Tappara
4:3
13.02.2026
Tappara
-
Ilves
4:1
Latest results of Tappara
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 4 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 4 : 2 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 4 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Ilves (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | KooKoo (2) | SaiPa (3) | 2 : 1 |
