Result
1:2
06/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 2
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Sport Recife - Palmeiras live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (282/356) | 78% (281/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 2.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (282/356) | 78% (281/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (31/55) | 38% (23/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (69/104) | 53% (43/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Torres F. 🟨,
- 20', Murilo 🟨,
- 21', Rivera C. 🟨,
- 30', Hereda ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
- 32', 0 - 1, Flaco Lopez (Pen),
- 32', Chico 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Chrystian Barletta ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
- 43', Bruno Fuchs 🟨,
- 45', Lucas Lima 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vanderlan ↓, Piquerez J. ↑,
- 46', Felipe Anderson ↓, Estevao ↑,
- 59', Martinez E. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 59', Bruno Fuchs ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 73', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
- 74', Pablo 🟨,
- 79', Du Queiroz ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
- 79', Pablo ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 83', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
- 83', Lucas Lima ↓, Lobato L. ↑,
- 84', Oliveira S. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 2, Raphael Veiga (Pen),
- 90+4', Vitor Roque 🟨,
- 90+7', Matheus Alexandre 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife
27.4% | Draw
30.2% | Palmeiras
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Recife's performance.Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palmeiras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Recife that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+17.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sport Recife - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.58 ↓
(5.98) |
3.22 ↓
(3.93) |
2.2 ↑
(1.58) |
4.5%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Recife (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Recife (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Recife won 0.
- Recife is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Palmeiras is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.
- There will not play in Recife: Atencio R.
(Toe Injury)
Dalbert
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Injury)
Marcos Rocha
(Hamstring Injury)
Paulinho
(Inactive)
Pedro Felipe
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Igor Carius
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Mauricio
(Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Recife won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22:30 (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Recife won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Palmeiras?
Sport Recife has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Sport Recife?
Palmeiras has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Palmeiras were as follows:
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:4 | 20 | 24 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 23 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Ceara | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Vasco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Santos | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Internacional | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 11 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 | Juventude | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 8 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Sport Recife - Palmeiras?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
