Result
1:3
23/11/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 35
- Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (410/481) | 78% (247/315) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (410/481) | 78% (247/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (17/38) | 45% (25/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (93/124) | 63% (58/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.35 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', Ramon Menezes 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Luan Candido (Own goal),
- 15', 0 - 2, Cantalapiedra A. ⚽, Caceres R. (A),
- 29', 1 - 2, Pablo ⚽, Matheusinho (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ramon Menezes ↓, Kevyson ↑,
- 46', Matheusinho ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 46', Lopez R. ↓, Renato Kayzer ↑,
- 48', 1 - 3, Renato Kayzer ⚽, Erick (A),
- 54', Rivera C. 🟨,
- 61', Erick 🟨,
- 65', Erick ↓, Lucas Braga ↑,
- 65', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 68', Kevyson 🟨,
- 74', Rivera C. ↓, Gomes do Nascimento A. ↑,
- 81', Baralhas ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 81', Ronald Lopes ↓, Ricardo Ryller ↑,
- 86', Lucas Kal ↓, Oliveira S. ↑,
- 86', Leo Pereira ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife
27.5% | Draw
28.4% | Vitória Salvador
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Sport Recife - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(3.38) |
3.35 ↓
(3.46) |
2.15 ↑
(2.11) |
5.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Vitória will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 39.2% – 89.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 0.
- Recife is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Vitória has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vitória will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Derik Lacerda
(Suspended)
Gabriel
(Yellow Cards)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Igor Carius
(Yellow Cards)
Pedro Augusto
(Hip Injury)
Ze Lucas
(International duty)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Lucas Arcanjo
(Knee Injury)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
Willian Oliveira
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Claudinho
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Recife won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Vitória Salvador?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Sport Recife?
Vitória Salvador has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
23.07.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Sport Recife
2:2
19.03.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Sport Recife
1:0
18.11.2023
Vitória Salvador
-
Sport Recife
1:0
19.07.2023
Sport Recife
-
Vitória Salvador
1:2
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
