Result
2:1
03/04/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Claro Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (456/507) | 82% (280/341) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (456/507) | 82% (280/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (29/45) | 40% (18/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (92/114) | 75% (61/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Ruiz J. ⚽, Faravelli L. (A),
- 40', 1 - 1, Fabio Gomes ⚽, Ovalle J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Merolla L. 🟨,
- 55', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 1, Pena A. ⚽, Ruiz J. (A),
- 66', Ovalle J. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
- 66', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 69', Badaloni T. ↓, Rosero K. ↑,
- 75', Godinez S. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
- 75', Merolla L. ↓, Barcenas Y. ↑,
- 82', Calderon C. ↓, Rossano F. ↑,
- 82', Fabio Gomes ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 87', Arce B. 🟨,
- 88', Ruiz J. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
- 89', Faravelli L. ↓, Tello I. ↑,
- 90', Martinez R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Necaxa
60.4% | Draw
21.9% | Mazatlan
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Necaxa - Mazatlan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.68) |
4.3 ↑
(4.1) |
5.21 ↑
(4.57) |
7.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Necaxa - Mazatlan?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Necaxa (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 2.
- Necaxa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Mazatlan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Necaxa is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Necaxa: Carranza J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C.
(Injury)
Moreno Villegas O. F.
(Injury)
Sierra J.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Mazatlan?
Necaxa has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Necaxa?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Mazatlan were as follows:
07.11.2025
Mazatlan
-
Necaxa
1:1
21.02.2025
Necaxa
-
Mazatlan
3:1
18.09.2024
Mazatlan
-
Necaxa
0:0
01.03.2024
Mazatlan
-
Necaxa
2:1
05.11.2023
Necaxa
-
Mazatlan
4:0
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
