Sergipe vs Jequié – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Sergipe - Jequié
Result
1:0
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
66
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
68
Corner Kicks
66
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Sergipe
55.9%
Draw
26.9%
Jequié
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 27.2% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 22.9% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sergipe's performance.
  • Jequié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jequié might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sergipe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jequié than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jequié could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sergipe - Jequié Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.87)
    3.38
    (3.32)
    5.33
    (3.69)
    9.8%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sergipe - Jequié?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
    • Recent performances by Sergipe have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Jequié has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Sergipe is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sergipe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sergipe - Jequié were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Jequié - Sergipe 1:0
    Latest results of Sergipe
    Latest results of Jequié
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz0 : 1
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira2 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2