Result
2:1
26/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Joao Marcos (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 90+6', 2 - 0, Lauro ⚽,
- 90+14', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Aparecidense
66.5% | Draw
22.2% | Capital CF Ltda
11.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Aparecidense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Capital CF Ltda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aparecidense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Aparecidense - Capital CF Ltda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↑
(1.37) |
4.14 ↓
(4.2) |
8.06 ↑
(7.75) |
9%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
- Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
- Aparecidense has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Capital's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Aparecidense is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Aparecidense will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aparecidense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Aparecidense won against Capital CF Ltda?
Aparecidense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Capital CF Ltda won against Aparecidense?
Capital CF Ltda has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aparecidense - Capital CF Ltda were as follows:
19.04.2025
Capital CF Ltda
-
Aparecidense
0:1
Latest results of Aparecidense
Latest results of Capital CF Ltda
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 13 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 14 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | ASA | Manauara | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | America RN | Imperatriz | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Mixto | Cianorte | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 0 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Maranhao | ASA | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | America RN | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Cianorte | Barra FC | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Goiatuba | Inter de Limeira | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Maranhao | Santa Cruz | |
| 2 | Barra FC | Inter de Limeira | 2 : 0 |
Final
