Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros SA – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
27/09/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.021.32
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
111
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
89% (472/528)73% (178/245)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.021.32
xG on target (xGOT)
3.560.61
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
111
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
2112
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
98
Passes
89% (472/528)73% (178/245)
Long passes
62% (26/42)32% (17/53)
Passes in final third
79% (100/127)54% (45/84)
Crosses
35% (8/23)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.281.26
Throw-ins
1416
Fouls
89
Tackles
50% (6/12)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3830
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.613.56
Goals prevented
-0.390.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Torres E. , Castillo J. (A),
  • 16', Lopez A. 🟥,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Lucumi C. , Suarez K. (A),
  • 39', Montes G. , Mina Chara J. E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Bodencer E. , Miranda L. ,
  • 46', Mina Chara J. E. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Angulo , Mantilla D. (A),
  • 67', Benitez B. , Goez Y. ,
  • 72', Fernandez W. , Gil M. ,
  • 72', Torres E. , Aponza Cantonil S. A. ,
  • 75', Mantilla D. , Uruena B. ,
  • 75', Restrepo E. , Ospina N. ,
  • 81', Lucumi C. 🟨,
  • 82', Castillo J. , Mosquera F. ,
  • 84', Goez Y. 🟨,
  • 85', Franco P. 🟨,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Gil M. , Manjarres R. (A),
  • 90+2', Munoz J. , Valoyes J. ,
  • 90+2', Suarez K. , Perez L. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5n6t9v5b

Chances of winning


Alianza Valledupar
51%
Draw
28.1%
Llaneros SA
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 28.3% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 27.7% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Alianza Valledupar - Llaneros SA Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.88)
    3.36
    (3.32)
    4.43
    (4.27)
    6.3%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Llaneros SA?
  • Users Predictions: Alianza Valledupar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alianza Valledupar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Alianza is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alianza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Llaneros SA were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar 0:1
    Latest results of Llaneros SA
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 16121333:132037
    2Dep. Pasto1694322:17531
    3Junior1691624:20428
    4Deportes Tolima1676324:141027
    5Once Caldas1668226:19726
    6Inter Bogotu00e11667320:21-125
    7America De Cali1573519:12724
    8Dep. Cali1665518:14423
    9Bucaramanga1657423:14922
    10Millonarios1664626:18822
    11Aguilas1664616:20-422
    12Llaneros1649317:15221
    13Santa Fe1648419:20-120
    14Ind. Medellin1545621:22-117
    15Fortaleza1537517:23-616
    16Cucuta1636721:27-615
    17Alianza1636711:24-1315
    18Jaguares de Cordoba16421014:28-1414
    19Chico15321011:26-1511
    20Pereira1607914:29-157

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )