Result
2:2
03/05/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 19
- Referee: Trujillo F. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (238/311) | 73% (281/384) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 3.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (238/311) | 73% (281/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 44% (26/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (60/92) | 55% (72/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.36 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.36 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Rosales Y. 🟨,
- 20', Lasso J. 🟨,
- 41', Llinas A. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Londono Y. ⚽, Pardo F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Elizalde E. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
- 54', Osorio J. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
- 54', Sarabia C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 54', Garcia M. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
- 55', 2 - 0, Franco P. ⚽,
- 58', 2 - 1, Contreras R. ⚽, Castro L. (A),
- 59', Lasso J. ↓, Banguero E. ↑,
- 60', Pardo F. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
- 66', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
- 70', Esparragoza C. ↓, Cantillo F. ↑,
- 70', Fernandez W. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 75', Viveros S. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 75', Silva D. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
- 83', Cantillo F. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Contreras R. ⚽, Castro L. (A),
- 90+2', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Banguero E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Urena R. 🟨,
- 90+8', Castro Espinosa B. D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar
25.8% | Draw
27.9% | Millonarios
46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Valledupar's form might have worsened.Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millonarios, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.6 ↑
(2.88) |
3.36 ↑
(3.15) |
2.04 ↓
(2.5) |
6.4%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Millonarios will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Millonarios has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Millonarios?
Alianza Valledupar has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Alianza Valledupar?
Millonarios has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios were as follows:
13.09.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Millonarios
3:0
30.03.2025
Millonarios
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
28.07.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Millonarios
2:1
31.01.2024
Millonarios
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:1
05.10.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Millonarios
1:2
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Once Caldas ✔ | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 4 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
| 6 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
